Iowa: Election 2004 (President)

• Election Matchup
• Post-Election Vote Reexamination
• Likelihood Bush Re-elected
• Democratic Caucus
• Vice-President Selection
• Candidate Favorability Ratings
• Candidate Political Ideology
• Candidate Image
• Candidate Issue Handling
• Candidate Military Record

Election Matchup

George W. Bush (R) vs. John Kerry (D)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Kerry, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat John Kerry and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

3 "Americans will elect a President on November 2nd. If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now would you for Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or some other candidate?"

4 "On Tuesday, Americans will elect a President. If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now would you for Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or some other candidate?"

5 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards, or the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney?"

6 "Americans will cast ballots for President from now through November 2nd. If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now would you for Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or some other candidate?"

7 "Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerrya nd John Edwards as the Democratic candidates and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates. Who would you vote for?"

8 "Suppose the election for president were being held today. Who would you vote for if the only candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat John Kerry?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. John Kerry (D) vs. Ralph Nader (I)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards, the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, or the Independent ticket of Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo?"

2 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Kerry, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican, and Ralph Nader, an Independent?"

3 "If the election for president and vice president were being held today and the names on the ballot included George W. Bush for President and Dick Cheney for Vice President, the Republican, John Kerry for President and John Edwards for Vice President, the Democrats, and Ralph Nader for President and Peter Camejo for Vice President, the independents, for whom would you vote - Bush, Kerry, Nader, or someone else?"

4 "Suppose the election for president were being held today. Who would you vote for if the only candidates were Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, Independent Ralph Nader, and Libertarian Micahel Badnarik?"

5 "Suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo as independent candidates.  Would you vote for...?"

6 "If the election for president of the United States were held today, would you vote for: Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or Independent candidate Ralph Nader?"

Election Prediction

1 "Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you believe will win the presidential election in your state: George W. Bush or John Kerry?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. John Edwards (D)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat John Edwards and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Richard Gephardt (D)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Richard Gephardt, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Richard Gephardt and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Howard Dean (D)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Howard Dean, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Howard Dean and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Wesley Clark (D)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Wesley Clark, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Wesley Clark and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Joe Lieberman (D)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Joe Lieberman, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Joe Lieberman and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Bob Graham (D)

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Bob Graham, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Al Gore (D)

1 The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

George W. Bush (R) vs. Generic Democrat

1 "Which statement comes closest to your point of view? President Bush has done a good job in trying times, and I am likely to support his re-election, OR I don't like the job President Bush has done, and I am likely to vote for his Democratic opponent in 2004?"

2 The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Post-Election Vote Reexamination

Vote for President if Could Cast Vote Again

1 "If you could cast your vote again in the 2004 election for President, would you vote for John Kerry, the Democrat, or George W. Bush, the Republican?"

Likelihood Bush Re-elected

Likelihood George W. Bush Is Re-elected

1 "Regardless of how you intend to vote, how likely do you think it is that Bush will be re-elected as president?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus

Democratic Caucus Matchup

1 "Which candidate would you be more likely to vote for ...?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus Matchup

1 "If you were voting today for the Democratic nominee for President, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Note: Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus Matchup

1 "Democrats in Iowa will vote for presidential candidates in caucuses on January 19th. If the Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses were today, and you had to make a choice right now, who would you vote for?" Note: Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus Matchup

1 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Democratic Caucus Matchup