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Iowa: Election 2004 (President)

Election Matchup
Post-Election Vote Reexamination
Likelihood Bush Re-elected
Democratic Caucus
Vice-President Selection
Candidate Favorability Ratings
Candidate Political Ideology
Candidate Image
Candidate Issue Handling
Candidate Military Record

Election Matchup

George W. Bush (R) vs. John Kerry (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Kerry	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA⁶	October 31 – November 1, 2004	47%	50%	2%	1%	519 LV	± 4.4
Zogby	October 29 – November 1, 2004	45%	50%	5%		601 LV	± 4.1
Zogby	October 28-31, 2004	44%	50%	2%	4%	602 LV	± 4.1
SurveyUSA³	October 28-30, 2004	49%	49%	1%	0%	661 LV	± 3.9
Zogby	October 27-30, 2004	46%	47%	3%	4%	601 LV	± 4.1
Zogby	October 26-29, 2004	45%	44%	3%	8%	600 LV	± 4.1
Zogby	October 25-28, 2004	44%	45%	4%	7%	601 LV	± 4.1
Zogby	October 24-27, 2004	45%	45%	3%	7%	602 LV	± 4.1
Zogby	October 23-26, 2004	45%	45%	3%	7%	602 LV	± 4.1
Zogby	October 22-25, 2004	47%	44%	1%	8%	603 LV	± 4.1
Zogby	October 21-24, 2004	47%	45%	2%	6%	603 LV	± 4.1
Rasmussen	October 9-22, 2004	48%	46%	3%	4%	400 LV	± 5.0
SurveyUSA³	October 18-20, 2004	51%	45%	2%	2%	690 LV	± 3.8
Rasmussen	September 27 – October 10, 2004	46%	50%	4%		400 LV	± 5.0
SurveyUSA³	October 4-6, 2004	47%	48%	3%	3%	669 RV	± 3.9
Humphrey Institute⁸	September 27 – October 3, 2004	47%	47%	2%	5%	599 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA³	September 20-22, 2004	50%	46%	2%	2%	784 LV	± 3.6
Rasmussen	September 10-23, 2004	48%	45%	7%		400 LV	± 5.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000⁵	September 19-21, 2004	47%	46%	0%	7%	602 LV	± 4.0
Rasmussen	August 1-26, 2004	46%	48%	6%		500 LV	± 5.0
CNN / USA Today / Gallup⁷	August 23-26, 2004	46%	51%	3%		606 LV	± 5.0
Rasmussen	July 1-31, 2004	45%	48%	3%	3%	500 LV	± 5.0
Humphrey Institute⁸	June 21 – July 12, 2004	44%	50%	1%	5%	614 RV	± 4.0
Rasmussen	June 1-30, 2004	44%	48%	3%	5%	500 LV	± 5.0
Rasmussen	May 1-31, 2004	41%	49%	5%	5%	500 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA³	May 24-26, 2004	45%	48%	5%	3%	794 LV	± 3.6
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	May 23-25, 2004	43%	48%	0%	9%	604 LV	± 4.0
Rasmussen	March 23, 2004	41%	51%	8%		500 LV	± 4.5
Iowa Poll	February 7-11, 2004	42%	49%	9%		800 RV	± 3.5
KCCI-TV /Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	49%	42%	0%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA²	December 21-22, 2003	42%	54%	0%	4%	507 RV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	47%	42%	0%	11%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	49%	40%	0%	11%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	54%	36%	0%	10%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Kerry, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat John Kerry and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

3 "Americans will elect a President on November 2nd. If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now would you for Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or some other candidate?"

4 "On Tuesday, Americans will elect a President. If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now would you for Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or some other candidate?"

5 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards, or the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney?"

6 "Americans will cast ballots for President from now through November 2nd. If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now would you for Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or some other candidate?"

7 "Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerrya nd John Edwards as the Democratic candidates and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates. Who would you vote for?"

8 "Suppose the election for president were being held today. Who would you vote for if the only candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat John Kerry?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. John Kerry (D) vs. Ralph Nader (I)

Poll	Date	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
FOX News	October 30-31, 2004	48%	44%	1%	7%		700 LV	± 3.7
CNN / USA Today / Gallup⁵	October 27-30, 2004	48%	46%	2%	0%	4%	1119 LV	± 3.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 27-29, 2004	49%	44%	0%	7%		625 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll	October 25-29, 2004	45%	48%	1%	6%		806 LV	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 25-27, 2004	49%	48%	1%	0%	2%	600 LV	± 4.0
American Research Group³	October 25-27, 2004	48%	47%	1%	0%	4%	600 LV	± 4.0
CNN / USA Today / Gallup⁵	October 22-25, 2004	50%	46%	1%	0%	3%	649 LV	± 4.0
Central Surveys	October 14-19, 2004	45%	46%	1%	8%		502 LV	± 4.4
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 15-18, 2004	49%	43%	1%	7%		625 LV	± 4.0
American Research Group³	October 10-12, 2004	47%	47%	2%	0%	4%	600 LV	± 4.0
Chicago Tribune	October 8-11, 2004	47%	45%	1%	0%	7%	500 LV	± 4.4
Humphrey Institute⁴	September 27 – October 3, 2004	46%	47%	3%	1%	4%	599 LV	± 4.0
Fox News⁶	September 21-22, 2004	48%	45%	1%	6%		800 LV	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	September 19-21, 2004	47%	45%	2%	1%	4%	602 LV	± 4.0
CNN / USA Today / Gallup⁵	September 16-19, 2004	50%	44%	2%	0%	4%	631 LV	± 4.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	September 14-16, 2004	48%	42%	2%	8%		626 LV	± 4.0
American Research Group³	September 12-14, 2004	48%	46%	1%	0%	5%	600 LV	± 4.0
CNN / USA Today / Gallup⁵	August 23-26, 2004	45%	51%	2%	2%		606 LV	± 5.0
American Research Group³	July 26-28, 2004	46%	46%	2%	0%	6%	600 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll	July 17-21	46%	47%	4%	0%	3%	802 LV	± 3.5
Humphrey Institute⁴	June 21 – July 12, 2004	44%	48%	3%	1%	5%	614 RV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000²	May 23-25, 2004	42%	46%	3%	0%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0
American Research Group³	April 18-21, 2004	46%	47%	3%	0%	4%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards, the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, or the Independent ticket of Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo?"

2 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Kerry, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican, and Ralph Nader, an Independent?"

3 "If the election for president and vice president were being held today and the names on the ballot included George W. Bush for President and Dick Cheney for Vice President, the Republican, John Kerry for President and John Edwards for Vice President, the Democrats, and Ralph Nader for President and Peter Camejo for Vice President, the independents, for whom would you vote - Bush, Kerry, Nader, or someone else?"

4 "Suppose the election for president were being held today. Who would you vote for if the only candidates were Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, Independent Ralph Nader, and Libertarian Micahel Badnarik?"

5 "Suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo as independent candidates. Would you vote for...?"

6 "If the election for president of the United States were held today, would you vote for: Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, or Independent candidate Ralph Nader?"

Election Prediction

Poll	Date	Bush	Kerry	Depends	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Fox News¹	September 21-22, 2004	48%	38%	5%	9%	800 LV	± 3.5

1 "Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you believe will win the presidential election in your state: George W. Bush or John Kerry?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. John Edwards (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Edwards	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	51%	40%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA²	December 21-22, 2002	42%	53%	5%	507 RV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	49%	41%	10%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	52%	35%	13%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat John Edwards and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Richard Gephardt (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Gephardt	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	48%	42%	10%	600 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA²	December 21-22, 2003	45%	52%	4%	507 RV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	46%	43%	11%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	48%	39%	13%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	55%	40%	5%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Richard Gephardt, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Richard Gephardt and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Howard Dean (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Dean	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	50%	42%	8%	600 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA²	December 21-22, 2003	42%	54%	4%	507 RV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	48%	43%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	51%	38%	11%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Howard Dean, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Howard Dean and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Wesley Clark (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Clark	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	50%	39%	11%	600 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA²	December 21-22, 2003	59%	35%	6%	507 RV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	49%	40%	11%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	52%	35%	13%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Wesley Clark, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Wesley Clark and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Joe Lieberman (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Lieberman	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	49%	39%	12%	600 LV	± 4.0
SurveyUSA²	December 21-22, 2003	35%	59%	7%	507 RV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	49%	41%	10%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	49%	39%	12%	600 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	52%	39%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Joe Lieberman, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

2 "If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Joe Lieberman and Republican George W. Bush, who would you vote for?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Bob Graham (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Graham	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	52%	38%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2004 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Bob Graham, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

George W. Bush (R) vs. Al Gore (D)

Poll	Date	Bush	Gore	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll¹	June 21-26, 2002	64%	27%	9%	511 LV	± 4.4

1 The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

George W. Bush (R) vs. Generic Democrat

Poll	Date	Bush	Democrat	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	46%	47%	0%	7%	600 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll¹	September 12-16, 2003	41%	41%	14%		803	± 3.5
Iowa Poll¹	May 17-20, 2003	52%	28%	20%		653	± 3.8

1 "Which statement comes closest to your point of view? President Bush has done a good job in trying times, and I am likely to support his re-election, OR I don't like the job President Bush has done, and I am likely to vote for his Democratic opponent in 2004?"

2 The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Post-Election Vote Reexamination

Vote for President if Could Cast Vote Again

Poll	Date	Kerry	Bush	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	March 20-22, 2006	49%	41%	10%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "If you could cast your vote again in the 2004 election for President, would you vote for John Kerry, the Democrat, or George W. Bush, the Republican?"

Likelihood Bush Re-elected

Likelihood George W. Bush Is Re-elected

Poll	Date	Very likely	Somewhat likely	Not likely	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	December 1-2, 2003	53%		43%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby¹	October 20-21, 2003	9%	40%	48%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby¹	September 8-9, 2003	50%		46%	4%	500 LV	± 4.4
Zogby¹	April 25-27, 2003	24%	37%	33%	6%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby¹	January 17-19, 2003	20%	40%	33%	7%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Regardless of how you intend to vote, how likely do you think it is that Bush will be re-elected as president?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus

Democratic Caucus Matchup

Candidate¹	January 17-19, 2003	April 25-27, 2003	September 8-9, 2003	October 20-21, 2003
John Kerry	11%	13%	11%	9%
John Edwards	5%	4%	6%	7%
Howard Dean	2%	6%	23%	21%
Richard Gephardt	19%	25%	17%	22%
Wesley Clark	---	0%	1%	7%
Dennis Kucinich	---	3%	2%	1%
Al Sharpton	2%	1%	0%	0%
Joe Lieberman	17%	9%	4%	5%
Carol Mosely Braun	---	1%	1%	1%
Bob Graham	---	1%	1%	---
Gary Hart	5%	4%	---	---
Other	2%	3%	0%	1%
No opinion	37%	31%	34%	26%
Poll	Zogby	Zogby	Zogby	Zogby
Sample	480 LV	387 LV	500 LV	500 LV
MoE	± 4.6	± 5.1	± 4.4	± 4.5

Candidate¹	December 1-2, 2003	January 8-10, 2004	January 9-11, 2004	January 10-12, 2004
John Kerry	9%	15%	16%	17%
John Edwards	5%	14%	12%	14%
Howard Dean	26%	25%	26%	28%
Richard Gephardt	22%	23%	23%	23%
Wesley Clark	4%	3%	2%	2%
Dennis Kucinich	2%	2%	3%	3%
Al Sharpton	0%	1%	1%	0%
Joe Lieberman	2%	3%	2%	1%
Carol Mosely Braun	1%	1%	1%	1%
No opinion	28%	14%	14%	12%
Poll	Zogby	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby
Sample	500 LV	500 LV	500 LV	500 LV
MoE	± 4.5	± 4.5	± 4.5	± 4.5

Candidate¹	January 11-13, 2004	January 12-14, 2004	January 13-15, 2004	January 14-16, 2004
John Kerry	21%	22%	24%	23%
John Edwards	15%	17%	17%	18%
Howard Dean	24%	21%	19%	22%
Richard Gephardt	21%	21%	19%	19%
Wesley Clark	3%	3%	3%	3%
Dennis Kucinich	2%	3%	3%	2%
Al Sharpton	0%	0%	0%	0%
Joe Lieberman	1%	1%	1%	1%
Carol Mosely Braun	1%	1%	0%	0%
No opinion	13%	11%	13%	11%
Poll	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby
Sample	501 LV	502 LV	503 LV	503 LV
MoE	± 4.5	± 4.5	± 4.5	± 4.5

Candidate¹	January 15-17, 2004	January 16-18, 2004
John Kerry	24%	25%
John Edwards	18%	21%
Howard Dean	23%	22%
Richard Gephardt	19%	18%
Wesley Clark	3%	2%
Dennis Kucinich	2%	2%
Al Sharpton	0%	0%
Joe Lieberman	1%	1%
Carol Mosely Braun	0%	0%
No opinion	10%	9%
Poll	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby	Reuters / MSNBC / Zogby
Sample	502 LV	501 LV
MoE	± 4.5	± 4.5

1 "Which candidate would you be more likely to vote for ...?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus Matchup

Candidate¹	March 10-12, 2003	June 2-4, 2003	August 25-27, 2003	October 26-28, 2003	January 5-7, 2004	January 12-14, 2004
Howard Dean	6%	11%	25%	26%	29%	22%
John Kerry	20%	14%	16%	15%	18%	21%
John Edwards	8%	4%	6%	8%	8%	18%
Richard Gephardt	22%	27%	21%	26%	25%	18%
Dennis Kucinich	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	5%
Wesley Clark	---	---	3%	3%	3%	2%
Joe Lieberman	16%	10%	12%	3%	2%	1%
Al Sharpton	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Carol Mosely Braun	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Bob Graham	0%	1%	1%	---	---	---
No opinion	27%	29%	15%	18%	13%	13%
Poll	KCCI-TV / Research 2000	KCCI-TV / Research 2000	KCCI-TV / Research 2000	KCCI-TV / Research 2000	KCCI-TV / Research 2000	KCCI-TV / Research 2000
Sample	400 LV	400 LV	403 LV	400 LV	404 LV	607 LV
MoE	± 5.0	± 5.0	± 5.0	± 5.0	± 5.0	± 4.0

1 "If you were voting today for the Democratic nominee for President, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Note: Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus Matchup

Candidate¹	September 16-18, 2003	October 14-16, 2003	November 18-20, 2003	December 8-10, 2004	January 5-7, 2004	January 13-15, 2004
Howard Dean	23%	22%	32%	42%	29%	24%
Richard Gephardt	23%	27%	22%	23%	22%	20%
John Kerry	17%	15%	19%	15%	21%	21%
John Edwards	11%	11%	11%	10%	17%	22%
Wesley Clark	8%	11%	3%	---	---	---
Dennis Kucinich	---	---	3%	---	---	---
Al Sharpton	---	---	2%	---	---	---
Joe Lieberman	5%	4%	1%	---	---	---
Carol Mosely Braun	---	---	1%	---	---	---
Other	6%	7%	0%	7%	8%	10%
No opinion	7%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%
Poll	SurveyUSA	SurveyUSA	SurveyUSA	SurveyUSA	SurveyUSA	SurveyUSA
Sample	438 LV	435 LV	408 LV	N/A	N/A	428 LV
MoE	± 4.8	± 4.8	± 5.0	± 5.0	N/A	± 4.9

1 "Democrats in Iowa will vote for presidential candidates in caucuses on January 19th. If the Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses were today, and you had to make a choice right now, who would you vote for?" Note: Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Caucus Matchup

Candidate¹	July 22-29, 2003	November 2-5, 2003	January 13-16, 2004
John Kerry	14%	15%	26%
John Edwards	5%	5%	23%
Howard Dean	23%	20%	20%
Richard Gephardt	21%	27%	18%
Dennis Kucinich	4%	3%	3%
Wesley Clark	---	4%	2%
Joseph Lieberman	10%	5%	1%
Al Sharpton	0%	1%	1%
Carol Mosely Braun	1%	1%	---
Bob Graham	1%	---	---
No opinion	21%	19%	5%
Poll	Iowa Poll	Iowa Poll	Iowa Poll
Sample	402 LV	501 LV	606 LV
MoE	± 4.9	± 4.4	± 4.0

1 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Democratic Caucus Matchup

Candidate¹	May 5-9, 2003
Richard Gephardt	25%
John Kerry	13%
Joseph Lieberman	9%
Howard Dean	7%
John Edwards	6%
Carol Mosely Braun	2%
Bob Graham	1%
No opinion	37%
Poll	Mason-Dixon
Sample	300 LV
MoE	± 5.8

1 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Satisfied With White House 2004 Democratic Field

Poll	Date	Satisfied with present field	Wish other candidates were running	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	October 20-21, 2003	73%	21%	6%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby¹	September 8-9, 2003	67%	25%	7%	500 LV	± 4.4
Zogby¹	April 25-27, 2003	47%	42%	11%	387 LV	± 5.1

1 "Are you satisfied with the present White House 2004 Democratic field?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Important Factor in Selecting Candidate

Poll	Date	Position on issues	Values and character	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	April 25-27, 2003	55%	28%	17%	387 LV	± 5.1

1 "In making your White House 2004 selection, which is more important?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Candidate Electability vs. Integrity

Poll	Date	Stands up for what they believe	Can beat Bush	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	December 1-2, 2003	56%	37%	7%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby¹	October 20-21, 2003	58%	36%	6%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you think it is more important that Democrats nominate someone who stands up for what he/she believes or who can defeat Bush in 2004?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Credentials for Nomination

Poll	Date	Lifelong Democrat	Recent convert	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	October 20-21, 2003	55%	15%	30%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Which comes closest to your view: Democrats should nominate someone who is a lifelong Democrat or is a recent convert to their way of thinking?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Political Ideology for Democratic Nomination

Poll	Date	Clinton ideology	More liberal	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	October 20-21, 2003	54%	29%	27%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Which comes closest to your view: Democrats should nominate someone whose political ideology is closest to that of former President Clinton or whose political ideology is more liberal?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Partisanship of Democratic Nominee

Poll	Date	Moderate centrist	Democratic wing	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	October 20-21, 2003	46%	39%	15%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Which comes closest to your view: Democrats should nominate someone who is a moderate centrist who can appeal to independents or who represents the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Democratic Candidate Electability vs. Integrity

Poll	Date	Appeal to many	Uphold party values	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll¹	July 13-16, 2004	59%	32%	9%	606 LV	± 4.0

1 "AreIs it more important that the Democratic nominee appeal to a large swath of voters across the country or uphold the party's core principles?" The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Vice-President Selection

Selection of Tom Vilsack As John Kerry's Running Mate

Poll	Date	Yes	No	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	May 23-25, 2004	56%	32%	12%	604 LV	± 4.0

1 "Do you think John Kerry should select Tom Vilsack as his Vice Presidential running mate?"

Candidate Favorability Ratings

George W. Bush Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Fox News²	October 30-31, 2004	52%	45%	3%	700 LV	± 3.7
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 27-29, 2004	49%	39%	12%	625 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 25-27, 2004	46%	44%	10%	600 LV	± 4.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 15-18, 2004	49%	40%	11%	625 LV	± 4.0
Chicago Tribune	October 8-11, 2004	45%	44%	11%	500 LV	± 4.4
Fox News²	September 21-22, 2004	51%	45%	4%	800 LV	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	September 19-21, 2004	47%	42%	11%	602 LV	± 4.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	September 13-14, 2004	50%	40%	10%	625 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll³	July 17-21, 2004	49%	49%	2%	802	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	May 23-25, 2004	44%	43%	13%	604 LV	± 4.0
American Research Group	April 18-21, 2004	47%	44%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll⁴	July 22-29, 2003	15%	80%	5%	402 LV	± 4.9

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush?"

2 "I'm going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of each. If you've never heard of one, please just say so...George W. Bush."

3 The Iowa Poll is sponsored by The Des Moines Register.

4 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by The Des Moines Register.

John Kerry Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Fox News³	October 30-31, 2004	47%	48%	5%	700 LV	± 3.7
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 27-29, 2004	39%	43%	18%	625 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 25-27, 2004	45%	43%	12%	600 LV	± 4.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 15-18, 2004	43%	42%	15%	625 LV	± 4.0
Chicago Tribune	October 8-11, 2004	45%	43%	12%	500 LV	± 4.4
Fox News³	September 21-22, 2004	50%	45%	5%	800 LV	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	September 19-21, 2004	46%	40%	14%	602 LV	± 4.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	September 13-14, 2004	36%	40%	24%	625 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll	July 17-21, 2004	51%	40%	9%	802 LV	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	May 23-25, 2004	47%	32%	21%	604 LV	± 4.0
American Research Group	April 18-21, 2004	42%	34%	24%	600 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll⁴	January 13-16, 2004	79%	14%	7%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000²	January 12-14, 2004	70%	29%	1%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	70%	15%	15%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000²	January 5-7, 2004	69%	27%	4%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	64%	17%	19%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000²	October 26-28, 2003	65%	23%	12%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	61%	13%	26%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	54%	15%	31%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000²	August 25-27, 2003	62%	19%	19%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll⁴	July 22-29, 2003	68%	10%	22%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000²	June 2-4, 2003	54%	14%	32%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	52%	12%	36%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby²	January 17-19, 2003	51%	6%	43%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kerry?"

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 "I'm going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of each. If you've never heard of one, please just say so...John Kerry."

4 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Ralph Nader Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 25-27, 2004	31%	57%	12%	600 LV	± 4.0
Fox News²	September 21-22, 2004	16%	65%	19%	800 LV	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	September 19-21, 2004	33%	51%	16%	602 LV	± 4.0
Iowa Poll	July 17-21, 2004	17%	56%	27%	802	± 3.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	May 23-25, 2004	31%	44%	25%	604 LV	± 4.0
American Research Group	April 18-21, 2004	4%	72%	24%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ralph Nader?"

2 "I'm going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of each. If you've never heard of one, please just say so...Ralph Nader."

John Edwards Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll²	July 17-21, 2004	57%	25%	18%	802	± 3.5
Iowa Poll³	January 13-16, 2004	76%	14%	10%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	65%	27%	8%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	65%	11%	24%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	56%	29%	15%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	51%	12%	37%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	53%	25%	22%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	51%	8%	41%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	42%	7%	51%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	37%	18%	45%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll⁴	July 22-29, 2003	40%	13%	47%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	28%	16%	56%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	25%	10%	65%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby²	January 17-19, 2003	29%	6%	65%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Edwards?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

4 The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Howard Dean Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll³	January 13-16, 2004	60%	35%	5%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	71%	28%	1%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	66%	24%	10%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	74%	22%	4%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	74%	10%	16%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	72%	18%	10%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	62%	11%	27%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	57%	6%	37%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	62%	13%	25%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	61%	10%	29%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	33%	9%	58%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	22%	8%	70%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby²	January 17-19, 2003	13%	4%	83%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Howard Dean?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Joe Lieberman Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll³	January 13-16, 2004	32%	54%	14%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	52%	45%	3%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	35%	44%	21%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	50%	44%	6%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	35%	42%	23%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	52%	40%	8%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	47%	32%	21%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	46%	27%	27%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	61%	30%	9%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	59%	27%	34%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	58%	28%	14%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	57%	23%	20%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby²	January 17-19, 2003	64%	15%	21%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Lieberman?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Wesley Clark Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll³	January 13-16, 2004	37%	36%	27%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	41%	34%	25%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	36%	20%	44%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	38%	30%	32%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	33%	22%	45%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	36%	27%	37%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	25%	19%	56%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	12%	13%	75%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	17%	3%	80%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	22%	16%	62%	402 LV	± 4.9

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Wesley Clark?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Richard Gephardt Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll³	January 13-16, 2004	73%	22%	5%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	66%	33%	1%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	73%	18%	9%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	68%	30%	2%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	70%	18%	12%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	69%	28%	3%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	75%	13%	12%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	66%	15%	19%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	64%	24%	12%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	73%	16%	11%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	59%	23%	18%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	67%	16%	17%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby²	January 17-19, 2003	71%	10%	19%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Richard Gephardt?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Al Sharpton Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll³	January 13-16, 2004	17%	55%	28%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	21%	64%	15%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	15%	42%	43%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	19%	61%	30%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	17%	41%	42%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	10%	55%	35%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	13%	42%	45%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	19%	22%	59%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	11%	57%	32%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	10%	55%	35%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	13%	53%	34%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	8%	45%	47%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby²	January 17-19, 2003	11%	32%	57%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Al Sharpton?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Carol Mosely Braun Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	11%	28%	61%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	27%	25%	48%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	15%	22%	63%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	24%	18%	58%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	14%	20%	66%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	19%	26%	55%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	10%	39%	51%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	18%	15%	67%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	21%	29%	50%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	14%	7%	79%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	19%	22%	59%	387 LV	± 5.1

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Carol Mosely Braun?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Dennis Kucinich Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Iowa Poll³	January 13-16, 2004	30%	37%	33%	606 LV	± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 12-14, 2004	34%	24%	42%	607 LV	± 4.0
Zogby²	January 8-10, 2004	24%	24%	52%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	January 5-7, 2004	27%	20%	53%	404 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	December 1-2, 2003	20%	22%	58%	500 LV	± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	October 26-28, 2003	20%	18%	62%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	October 20-21, 2003	14%	21%	65%	500 LV	± 4.5
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	18%	17%	65%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	15%	8%	77%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	23%	14%	63%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	6%	2%	92%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	11%	10%	79%	387 LV	± 5.1

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dennis Kucinich?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Bob Graham Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby²	September 8-9, 2003	21%	23%	56%	500 LV	± 4.4
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	August 25-27, 2003	34%	18%	48%	403 LV	± 5.0
Iowa Poll³	July 22-29, 2003	31%	26%	43%	402 LV	± 4.9
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	June 2-4, 2003	28%	11%	61%	400 LV	± 5.0
Zogby²	April 25-27, 2003	22%	16%	62%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby²	January 17-19, 2003	22%	11%	67%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bob Graham?" Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters only.

2 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

3 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Gary Hart Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Zogby¹	April 25-27, 2003	30%	44%	26%	387 LV	± 5.1
Zogby¹	January 17-19, 2003	36%	37%	27%	480 LV	± 4.6

1 Poll of likely Democratic caucus voters.

Candidate Political Ideology

George W. Bush Political Ideology

Poll	Date	Too conservative	Not conservative enough	About right	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Humphrey Institute¹	June 21 – July 12, 2004	30%	18%	45%	8%	614 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you think President Bush's position on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?"

John Kerry Political Ideology

Poll	Date	Too liberal	Not liberal enough	About right	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Humphrey Institute¹	June 21 – July 12, 2004	37%	7%	47%	9%	614 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you think Senator John Kerry's position on the issues are too liberal, not liberal enough, or about right?"

Candidate Image

Trait¹	September 21-22, 2004					October 30-31, 2004
Trait¹	Bush	Kerry	Both	Neither	No opinion	Bush	Kerry	Both	Neither	No opinion
Is more likely to keep his word	49%	38%	2%	5%	6%	50%	38%	2%	5%	5%
Is a more likeable person	48%	41%	3%	3%	5%	---	---	---	---	---
Is a stronger leader	---	---	---	---	---	50%	39%	2%	2%	7%
Understands the average American better	---	---	---	---	---	42%	41%	2%	9%	6%
Poll	Fox News					Fox News
Sample	800 LV					700 LV
MoE	± 3.5					± 3.7

1 "Which candidate do you think..."

Candidate Image

Trait	Bush	Kerry	No opinion
Is more personable and likeable	46%	42%	12%
Is the stronger leader	51%	37%	11%
Poll	Chicago Tribune
Date	October 8-11, 2004
Sample	500 LV
MoE	± 4.4

Candidate Image

Trait¹	June 21 – July 12, 2004			September 27 – October 3, 2004
Trait¹	Bush	Kerry	No opinion	Bush	Kerry	No opinion
He will be a strong leader for the country	48%	47%	5%	49%	46%	5%
He cares about people like me	39%	52%	8%	45%	49%	6%
He flip-flops on the issues	34%	49%	17%	28%	57%	15%
He is stubborn	67%	15%	18%	65%	19%	16%
Poll	Humphrey Institute			Humphrey Institute
Sample	614 RV			599 LV
MoE	± 4.0			± 4.0

1 "I am going to read you a list of statements. Tell me whether you think each statement applies more to George W. Bush or John Kerry..."

Most Important Traits for President

Trait¹	July 17-21, 2004
Trait¹	Bush	Kerry	No opinion
Sticks to his convictions	60%	30%	10%
Is a strong leader	55%	34%	11%
Says what he believes	54%	37%	9%
Is a friendly and likeable person	50%	41%	9%
Has a firm grasp of complex issues	49%	40%	11%
Shares your values	47%	44%	9%
Is a person you admire	46%	39%	15%
Is honest with the American people	45%	45%	10%
Cares about people like me	43%	47%	10%
Is flexible in his thinking	33%	51%	16%
Poll	Iowa Poll
Sample	641 LV
MoE	± 3.9

1 "Who is better described by the following statements ...?" The Iowa Poll is sponsored by The Des Moines Register.

Most Important Traits for President

Trait	October 15-18, 2004
Is a strong leader	24%
Will bring needed change	19%
Is honest / trustworthy	17%
Clear on issues	14%
Cares about people like me	10%
Has strong religious faith	9%
Is intelligent	5%
No opinion	2%
Poll	MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon
Sample	625 LV
MoE	± 4.0

Reason for John Kerry Changing Issue Positions

Poll	Date	Political	Evolving	No opinion	Sample	MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 2000¹	September 19-21, 2004	58%	36%	9%	600 LV	± 4.0

1 "Which of the following comes closest to your view on John Kerry? John Kerry has changed his position on issues for political purposes OR John Kerry has changed his positions on issues because his thinking and the issues are evolving during the campaign?"

Candidate Issue Handling

Candidate Issue Handling (Economy)

Poll	Date	Bush	Kerry	No opinion	Sample	MoE
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 27-29, 2004	38%	37%	25%	625 LV	± 4.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	October 15-18, 2004	38%	37%	25%	625 LV	± 4.0
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	September 13-14, 2004	36%	32%	32%	625 LV	± 4.0

Decreasing Chance of Terrorist Attack

Chance of terror attack	September 13-14, 2004	October 15-18, 2004
Less if Bush re-elected	29%	32%
Less if Kerry elected	11%	13%
No effect	57%	53%
No opinion	3%	2%
Poll	MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon
Sample	625 LV	625 LV
MoE	± 4.0	± 4.0

Candidate Issue Handling

Issue¹	July 17-21, 2004			October 25-29, 2004
Issue¹	Bush	Kerry	No opinion	Bush	Kerry	No opinion
The situation in Iraq	48%	43%	9%	47%	42%	11%
The campaign against terrorism	52%	38%	10%	49%	40%	11%
Education	43%	46%	11%	43%	46%	11%
The economy	45%	46%	9%	43%	48%	9%
Health care access	37%	50%	13%	39%	49%	12%
Relations with other nations	46%	46%	8%	44%	45%	11%
Taxes	49%	42%	9%	45%	46%	9%
Federal budget deficit	---	---	---	40%	48%	12%
Prescription benefits for the elderly	36%	48%	16%	---	---	---
Energy policy	41%	43%	16%	---	---	---
Abortion	44%	38%	18%	---	---	---
Gay / lesbian rights	41%	37%	22%	---	---	---
Poll	Iowa Poll			Iowa Poll
Sample	641 LV			806 LV
MoE	± 3.9			± 3.5

1 "Who would do a better job handling ...?" The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

Candidate Issue Handling

Issue¹	Bush	Kerry	No opinion
Handle the economy	45%	43%	12%
Better protect the United States from another terrorist attack	51%	39%	10%
Handle the war in Iraq	46%	45%	9%
Poll	KCCI-TV / Research 2000
Date	October 25-27, 2004
Sample	600 LV
MoE	± 4.0

1 "Which candidate for President do you think can better..."

Candidate Issue Handling

Issue¹	September 21-22, 2004					October 30-31, 2004
Issue¹	Bush	Kerry	Both	Neither	No opinion	Bush	Kerry	Both	Neither	No opinion
Economy	47%	48%	0%	1%	4%	45%	46%	1%	3%	5%
Terrorism	54%	38%	2%	1%	5%	53%	37%	2%	3%	5%
Health care	38%	53%	0%	3%	6%	42%	49%	1%	4%	5%
Situation in Iraq	52%	41%	0%	2%	5%	52%	40%	1%	2%	5%
Poll	Fox News					Fox News
Sample	800 LV					700 LV
MoE	± 3.5					± 3.7

1 "Which candidate for President do you think would do a better job on the following issues?"

Candidate Issue Handling

Issue¹	Bush	Kerry	No opinion
Protecting the country from terrorist attacks	49%	33%	18%
Restoring jobs and economic growth	38%	45%	17%
Most likely to successfully end war	37%	42%	21%
Poll	Chicago Tribune
Date	October 8-11, 2004
Sample	500 LV
MoE	± 4.4

1 "Who would do a better job of ...?"

Candidate Issue Handling

Issue¹	June 21 – July 12, 2004			September 27 – October 3, 2004
Issue¹	Bush	Kerry	No opinion	Bush	Kerry	No opinion
Terrorism	54%	38%	8%	54%	38%	8%
The situation in Iraq	50%	45%	6%	52%	42%	6%
Gay marriage	34%	49%	17%	44%	35%	21%
The economy	41%	55%	5%	46%	49%	5%
Education	39%	54%	7%	45%	48%	7%
Health care	32%	57%	11%	41%	51%	8%
Medicare and prescription drugs	32%	55%	13%	38%	52%	10%
Poll	Humphrey Institute			Humphrey Institute
Sample	614 RV			599 LV
MoE	± 4.0			± 4.0

1 "Which candidate, George W. Bush or John Kerry, do you think would do a better job on each of the following issues?"

Issue Positions Associated With Candidates

Issue	Statement¹	John Kerry	George W. Bush
Education	The government in Washington should insist that states set academic standards and measure student performance	16%	41%
	The government should leave academic standards entirely up to the states	25%	17%
	Somewhere in between	26%	22%
	No opinion	33%	26%
Taxes	The government in Washington should cut taxes for everyone, including people making over $200,000 a year, even if it means reducing services	17%	60%
	The government should cut taxes for everyone, except for people making over $200,000 in order to provide services	45%	12%
	Somewhere in between	19%	17%
	No opinion	20%	12%
Iraq	Increase in the number of U.S. troops in Iraq	5%	50%
	Decrease in the number of U.S. troops in Iraq	64%	13%
	Somewhere in between	19%	29%
	No opinion	12%	8%
Poll	Humphrey Institute
Date	June 21 – July 12, 2004
Sample	614 RV
MoE	± 4.0

1 "Which statement do you think comes closer to (John Kerry's / George W. Bush's) point of view or do you think he falls somewhere in between?..."

Candidate Military Record

Truthfulness of John Kerry's Account of Military Service

Poll	Date	Definitely telling truth	Probably telling truth	Definitely lying	Probably lying	No opinion	Sample	MoE
CNN / USA Today / Gallup¹	August 23-26, 2004	25%	41%	22%	6%	6%	606 LV	± 5.0

1 "Based on what you have heard or read about John Kerry's accounts of his military service in the Vietnam War, do you think Kerry is definitely telling the truth about his military service in Vietnam, probably telling the truth, probably lying, or definitely lying about his military service in Vietnam?"

Vietnam War Record of Candidates Impact On Vote

Poll	Date	Yes	No	No opinion	Sample	MoE
MSNBC / Knight-Ridder / Mason-Dixon	September 13-14, 2004	17%	81%	2%	625 LV	± 4.0