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Iowa: Election 2006 (Governor)

 

Election Matchup

 

Chet Culver (D) vs. Jim Nussle (R)

Poll Date
Culver
Nussle
Other
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll3 October 31 – November 1, 2006
50%
41%
2%
7%
756 LV ± 3.6
KCCI-TV / Research 20002 October 30-31, 2006
50%
45%
2%
3%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 October 19, 2006
47%
44%
3%
15%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV /
Research 20001
October 16-17, 2006
49%
44%
1%
6%
600 LV ± 4.0
Iowa Poll3 October 8-11, 2006
46%
39%
3%
12%
800 LV ± 3.5
Rasmussen2 October 5, 2006
42%
42%
6%
11%
500 LV ± 4.5
Iowa Poll3 September 10-13, 2006
44%
44%
2%
10%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 September 11-12, 2006
48%
43%
9%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 August 28, 2006
42%
40%
6%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 July 27, 2006
41%
38%
4%
17%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 20-22, 2006
49%
41%
10%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 April 25, 2006
46%
40%
4%
11%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 March 29, 2006
40%
38%
6%
16%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
44%
43%
13%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
41%
40%
7%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
40%
40%
6%
13%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 November 28, 2005
41%
38%
7%
14%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
38%
42%
20%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
35%
41%
24%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Chet Culver, the Democrat, and Jim Nussle, the Republican?"

2 "If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Jim Nussle or for Democrat Chet Culver?"

3 "If the election for Iowa governor were held today, and the candidates were Jim Nussle for the Republicans and Chet Culver for the Democrats, for whom would you vote?" The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Jim Nussle (R) vs. Michael Blouin (D)

Poll Date
Nussle
Blouin
Other
No opinion
Sample MoE
Rasmussen2 April 25, 2006
44%
36%
7%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 March 29, 2006
41%
34%
7%
18%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
43%
37%
20%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
41%
36%
8%
15%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
39%
34%
9%
18%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 November 28, 2005
39%
36%
9%
16%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
45%
18%
37%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Michael Blouin, the Democrat, and Jim Nussle, the Republican?"

2 "If the election for Governor were held today would you vote for Republican Jim Nussle or for Democrat Mike Blouin?"

 

Jim Nussle (R) vs. Ed Fallon (D)

Poll Date
Nussle
Fallon
Other
No opinion
Sample MoE
Rasmussen2 April 25, 2006
43%
41%
6%
11%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 March 29, 2006
41%
31%
7%
20%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
44%
34%
22%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
42%
32%
9%
18%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
42%
27%
11%
20%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
45%
21%
34%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
43%
19%
38%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Ed Fallon, the Democrat, and Jim Nussle, the Republican?"

2 "If the election for Governor were held today would you vote for Republican Jim Nussle or for Democrat Ed Fallon?"

 

Jim Nussle (R) vs. Patty Judge (D)

Poll Date
Nussle
Judge
Other
No opinion
Sample MoE
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
42%
37%
7%
14%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
40%
36%
8%
16%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 November 28, 2005
40%
37%
9%
14%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
43%
31%
26%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Patty Judge, the Democrat, and Jim Nussle, the Republican?"

2 "If the election for Governor were held today would you vote for Republican Jim Nussle or for Democrat Patty Judge?"

 

Chet Culver (D) vs. Bob Vander Plaats (R)

Poll Date
Culver
Vander Plaats
No opinion
Sample MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
41%
33%
26%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
39%
31%
30%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Chet Culver, the Democrat, and Bob Vander Plaats, the Republican?"

 

Ed Fallon (D) vs. Bob Vander Plaats (R)

Poll Date
Fallon
Vander Plaats
No opinion
Sample MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
22%
33%
45%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
20%
32%
48%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Ed Fallon, the Democrat, and Bob Vander Plaats, the Republican?"

 

Patty Judge (D) vs. Bob Vander Plaats (R)

Poll Date
Judge
Vander Plaats
No opinion
Sample MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
32%
31%
37%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Patty Judge, the Democrat, and Bob Vander Plaats, the Republican?"

 

Michael Blouin (D) vs. Bob Vander Plaats (R)

Poll Date
Blouin
Vander Plaats
No opinion
Sample MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
22%
33%
45%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Michael Blouin, the Democrat, and Bob Vander Plaats, the Republican?"

 

Tom Vilsack (D) vs. Other Candidates

Poll Date
Vilsack
Other candidates
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll1 October 8-11, 2006
44%
45%
11%
800 LV ± 3.5

1 "Governor Tom Vilsack chose not to run for reelection - but just hypothetically - if he were running in this election would you vote for him over the candidates currently running or not?" The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Democratic Primary

 

Democratic Primary Matchup

Poll Date
Culver
Blouin
Fallon
Other
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll2 May 29 – June 1, 2006
36%
28%
21%
1%
14%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
33%
16%
13%
38%
400 LV ± 5.0

1 "If you were voting today for the Democratic nominee for Governor, which of the following would you vote for? Chet Culver, Michael Blouin, Ed Fallon." Poll of likely Democratic primary voters.

2 Poll of likely Democrat primary voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Candidate Favorability Ratings

 

Chet Culver Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll4 October 31 –
November 3, 2006
60%
29%
11%
756 LV ± 3.6
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 October 30-31, 2006
53%
37%
10%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 October 19, 2006
50%
42%
5%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 October 16-17, 2006
52%
35%
13%
600 LV ± 4.0
Iowa Poll4 October 8-11, 2006
56%
27%
17%
800 LV ± 3.5
Rasmussen2 October 5, 2006
46%
44%
10%
500 LV ± 4.5
Iowa Poll5 September 10-13, 2006
48%
31%
21%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 September 11-12, 2006
50%
31%
19%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 August 28, 2006
52%
37%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 July 27, 2006
50%
38%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
Iowa Poll3 May 29 – June 1, 2006
60%
23%
17%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 20-22, 2006
53%
25%
22%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 April 25, 2006
52%
28%
20%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 March 29, 2006
52%
29%
19%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
50%
21%
29%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
49%
34%
16%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
39%
37%
24%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 November 28, 2005
47%
34%
19%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
32%
11%
57%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
21%
8%
71%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chet Culver?"

2 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of ... Chet Culver?"

3 Poll of likely Democratic primary voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

4 "Would you say your feelings toward Iowa Secretary of State and candidate for governor Chet Culver are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? If you don't know the person, just say so." The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

5 "I'd like to mention the names of some people in the news - both in Iowa and nationally. For each name I read, please tell me if your feelings towards that person are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. ... Iowa Secretary of State and candidate for governor Chet Culver." The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Jim Nussle Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll3 October 31 –
November 3, 2006
51%
39%
10%
756 LV ± 3.6
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 October 30-31, 2006
50%
42%
8%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 October 19, 2006
51%
44%
5%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 October 16-17, 2006
48%
41%
11%
600 LV ± 4.0
Iowa Poll3 October 8-11, 2006
47%
38%
14%
800 LV ± 3.5
Rasmussen2 October 5, 2006
50%
45%
9%
500 LV ± 4.5
Iowa Poll4 September 10-13, 2006
45%
33%
22%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 September 11-12, 2006
49%
37%
14%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 August 28, 2006
52%
38%
10%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 July 27, 2006
52%
36%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 20-22, 2006
54%
31%
15%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 April 25, 2006
54%
34%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 March 29, 2006
56%
30%
14%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
52%
28%
20%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
54%
34%
12%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
50%
30%
20%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 November 28, 2005
49%
37%
14%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
45%
23%
32%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
46%
18%
36%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jim Nussle?"

2 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of ... Jim Nussle?"

3 "Would you say your feelings toward Congressman and candidate for governor Jim Nussle are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? If you don't know the person, just say so." The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

4 "I'd like to mention the names of some people in the news - both in Iowa and nationally. For each name I read, please tell me if your feelings towards that person are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. ... Congressman and candidate for governor Jim Nussle." The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Michael Blouin Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll3 May 29 – June 1, 2006
49%
21%
30%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 April 25, 2006
42%
32%
26%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 March 29, 2006
38%
35%
26%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
36%
14%
50%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
40%
35%
25%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
35%
34%
31%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 November 28, 2005
39%
34%
28%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
10%
3%
87%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michael Blouin?"

2 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of ... Michael Blouin?"

3 Poll of likely Democratic primary voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Ed Fallon Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll3 May 29 – June 1, 2006
35%
16%
49%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 April 25, 2006
37%
33%
30%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 March 29, 2006
34%
39%
27%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 March 20-22, 2006
33%
13%
54%
600 LV ± 4.0
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
34%
45%
21%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
30%
39%
31%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
11%
3%
86%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
8%
1%
91%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ed Fallon?"

2 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of ... Ed Fallon?"

3 Poll of likely Democratic primary voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Patty Judge Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Sample MoE
Rasmussen2 February 7, 2006
42%
41%
17%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 January 9, 2006
44%
33%
23%
500 LV ± 4.5
Rasmussen2 November 28, 2005
39%
39%
22%
500 LV ± 4.5
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
26%
7%
67%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Patty Judge?"

2 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of ... Patty Judge?"

 

Bob Vander Plaats Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Sample MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 November 14-16, 2005
27%
18%
55%
600 LV ± 4.0
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 May 2-4, 2005
23%
12%
65%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bob Vander Plaats?"

 

Sal Mohamed Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll1 May 29 – June 1, 2006
9%
21%
70%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 Poll of likely Democratic primary voters. The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Candidate Political Ideology

 

Chet Culver Political Ideology

Poll Date
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
No opinion
Sample MoE
Rasmussen1 August 28, 2006
5%
38%
34%
23%
500 LV ± 4.5

1 "For each of the following, please let me know if you believe that person is politically conservative, moderate, or liberal ... Chet Culver."

 

Jim Nussle Political Ideology

Poll Date
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
No opinion
Sample MoE
Rasmussen1 August 28, 2006
43%
30%
7%
19%
500 LV ± 4.5

1 "For each of the following, please let me know if you believe that person is politically conservative, moderate, or liberal ... Jim Nussle."

 

Candidate Traits

 

Candidate Traits

Trait1
Culver
Nussle
Equal (vol.)
No opinion
Leading the state during a crisis
42%
41%
5%
12%
Upholding family values
43%
34%
13%
10%
Making tough decisions, even if they are unpopular
40%
41%
6%
13%
Being truthful with Iowans when serious mistakes are made
45%
31%
8%
16%
Working with legislators from the opposing party
44%
34%
6%
16%
Following the spirit of Iowa's open meetings and public records laws
43%
32%
6%
19%
Preventing scandal
41%
28%
10%
21%
Being an effective salesman for Iowa
46%
36%
8%
10%
Poll
Iowa Poll
Date
October 31 – November 3, 2006
Sample
756 LV
MoE
± 3.6

1 "For each of the following, please tell me who you would do better if elected governor - Chet Culver or Jim Nussle." The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Statements Hurting Or Helping Candidates

Statement1
Hurt
Help
Does not matter
No opinion
Jim Nussle was chair of the House Budget Committee during a time when the federal government went from having a surplus to having a deficit
56%
9%
30%
5%
Jim Nussle has generally supported George W. Bush's policies
52%
30%
14%
4%
Jim Nussle has spent his political career in Washington, D.C.
34%
28%
35%
3%
Chet Culver has received campaign contributions from people who invested in Touch Play video lottery machines
37%
9%
49%
5%
Chet Culver would take the state in the same direction as Tom Vilsack's administration
35%
37%
21%
7%
Chet Culver's only executive experience is in a relatively small state agency
34%
13%
49%
4%
Poll
Iowa Poll
Date
October 31 – November 3, 2006
Sample
756 LV
MoE
± 3.6

1 "I'm going to mention some things the candidates have said about themselves or each other during the campaign. For each, please tell me if this does more to hurt the person mentioned or help him. Just answer "hurt" or "help," or "does not matter." The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Impact of Candidate Abortion Views on Vote

 

Jim Nussle: Support for Abortion

Poll Date
More
Less
No effect
Sample MoE
KCCI-TV / Research 20001 September 11-12, 2006
11%
34%
55%
600 LV ± 4.0

1 "As you may know, Jim Nussle has stated that he favors a law in Iowa that would ban all abortions except those necessary to save the life of the mother. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for Jim Nussle, or does it have no real effect on your vote?"

 

Campaign Advertising

 

View of Campaign Ads

View of campaign ads1
October 8-11, 2006
They are helpful in providing information about candidates and what I see and hear stays with me
13%
They are mostly lies and they make me angry
25%
They are a necessary evil - something I just put up with during a campaign
47%
Don't watch / listen to ads (vol.)
8%
No opinion
7%
Poll
Iowa Poll
Sample
800 LV
MoE
± 3.5

1 "Which of the following three statements best reflects your attitudes toward the campaign ads for governor you see on TV or hear on the radio?" The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.

 

Campaign Ads Influenced How Will Vote

Poll Date
Yes
No
No opinion
Sample MoE
Iowa Poll1 October 8-11, 2006
19%
79%
2%
800 LV ± 3.5

1 "Is there anything you've heard or seen in the candidates' TV or radio ads that has influenced how you will vote?" The Iowa Poll is sponsored by the Des Moines Register.