Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs                           University of Minnesota
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Minnesota: Election 2000 (President)

 

Election Matchup

 

Al Gore (D) vs. George W. Bush (R) vs. Pat Buchanan (Ref) vs. Ralph Nader (G)

Poll Date
Gore
Bush
Buchanan
Nader
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 October 26-27, 2000
44%
41%
1%
8%
6%
625 LV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 September 22-25, 2000
47%
40%
1%
4%
8%
627 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 August 21-22, 2000
48%
40%
1%
3%
8%
621 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 6-8, 2000
40%
43%
3%
5%
9%
620 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR2 February 25-28, 2000
43%
40%
4%
---
13%
641 RV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2000 presidential election were held today, would you vote for: The Democratic ticket of Al Gore and Joe Lieberman? The Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney? The Reform Party ticket of Pat Buchanan and Ezola Foster? The Green Party ticket of Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke?"

2 "If the 2000 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Al Gore, the Democrat, George W. Bush, the Republican, and Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate?"

 

Al Gore (D) vs. John McCain (R) vs. Pat Buchanan (Ref.)

Poll Date
Gore
McCain
Buchanan
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 February 25-28, 2000
40%
44%
3%
14%
641 RV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2000 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Al Gore, the Democrat, John McCain, the Republican, and Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate?"

 

Al Gore (D) vs. George W. Bush (R)

Poll Date
Gore
Bush
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
39%
44%
17%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2000 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Al Gore, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

 

Al Gore (D) vs. Elizabeth Dole (R)

Poll Date
Gore
Dole
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
40%
39%
21%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2000 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Al Gore, the Democrat, and Elizabeth Dole, the Republican?"

 

Bill Bradley (D) vs. George W. Bush (R)

Poll Date
Bradley
Bush
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
27%
46%
27%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2000 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Bill Bradley, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican?"

 

Al Gore (D) vs. George W. Bush (R) vs. Jesse Ventura (Ref.)

Poll Date
Gore
Bush
Ventura
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
34%
39%
12%
15%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "If the 2000 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Al Gore, the Democrat, George W. Bush, the Republican, and Jesse Ventura, the Reform Party candidate?"

 

Democratic Primary

 

Democratic Primary Matchup

Poll Date
Gore
Bradley
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 February 25-28, 2000
59%
25%
16%
258 RV N/A

1 "If you were voting today for the Democratic nominee for president in 2000, which of the following candidates would get your vote?" Poll of registered Democratic voters.

 

Republican Primary

 

Republican Primary Matchup

Poll Date
Bush
McCain
Keyes
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 February 25-28, 2000
49%
31%
4%
16%
245 RV N/A

1 "If you were voting today for the Republican nominee for president in 2000, which of the following candidates would get your vote?" Poll of registered Republican voters.

 

Candidate Favorability Ratings

 

Al Gore Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 October 26-27, 2000
44%
37%
19%
0%
625 LV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 September 22-25, 2000
43%
29%
28%
0%
627 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 August 21-22, 2000
46%
27%
27%
0%
621 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 6-8, 2000
34%
34%
32%
0%
620 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
37%
39%
24%
0%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Al Gore?"

 

George W. Bush Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 October 26-27, 2000
43%
33%
24%
0%
625 LV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 September 22-25, 2000
37%
30%
33%
0%
627 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 August 21-22, 2000
37%
32%
30%
1%
621 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 6-8, 2000
39%
26%
34%
1%
620 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
46%
16%
38%
0%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of George W. Bush?"

 

Ralph Nader Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 August 21-22, 2000
23%
35%
33%
 9%
621 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 6-8, 2000
19%
31%
36%
14%
620 RV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Ralph Nader?"

 

Pat Buchanan Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 August 21-22, 2000
 8%
64%
25%
3%
621 RV ± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 6-8, 2000
12%
45%
39%
4%
620 RV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Pat Buchanan?"

 

Bill Bradley Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
19%
14%
51%
16%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Bill Bradley?"

 

Elizabeth Dole Favorability Rating

Poll Date
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 July 9-12, 1999
40%
25%
34%
1%
624 RV ± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Elizabeth Dole?"

 

Candidate Issue Handling

 

Candidate Issue Handling

Which presidential candidate do you feel would do a better job of handling...
Gore
Bush
Other
Same /
No opinion
Education issues
47%
32%
3%
18%
National defense issues
39%
43%
3%
15%
Environmental issues
56%
22%
5%
17%
Foreign policy issues
48%
36%
2%
14%
Social Security reform issues
44%
37%
4%
15%
Oil and energy policy issues
36%
40%
3%
21%
Medicare and prescription-drug policy issues
44%
34%
4%
18%
Poll
Pioneer Press / MPR
Date
September 22-25, 2000
Sample
627 RV
MoE
± 4.0

 

Impact of U.S. Economy On Vote Choice

Poll Date
Gore
Bush
No effect
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 October 26-27, 2000
30%
15%
53%
2%
625 LV ± 4.0

1 "Does the current state of the U.S. economy make you more likely to vote for Bush, more likely to vote for Gore, or does it have no real effect on your vote?"

 

Impact of Middle East Situation On Vote Choice

Poll Date
Gore
Bush
No effect
No opinion
Sample MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR1 October 26-27, 2000
23%
21%
54%
2%
625 LV ± 4.0

1 "Does the current situation in the Middle East make you more likely to vote for Bush, more likely to vote for Gore, or does it have no real effect on your vote?"

 

Candidate Traits

 

Most Important Trait Determining Presidential Vote

Most important for presidential vote choice1
July 6-8, 2000
Position on issues
44%
Moral character
23%
Experience to do the job
15%
Personal qualities and skills
11%
Other
3%
No opinion
4%
Poll
Pioneer Press / MPR
Sample
620 RV
MoE
± 4.0

1 "Which of the following will be MOST important for you in determining which presidential candidate you will vote for?"

 

Presidential Debates

 

Effect of Debates

Have the presidential debates made you think:
October 26-27, 2000
More highly of George W. Bush
24%
More highly of Al Gore
16%
More highly of Bush and Gore
7%
Not made you think more highly of either Bush or Gore
40%
No opinion
13%
Poll
Pioneer Press / MPR
Sample
625 LV
MoE
± 4.0