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Minnesota: Election 2002 (U.S. Senate)

Election Matchup
Candidate Favorability Ratings
Reason for Candidate Support
Paul Wellstone Death and Fallout

Election Matchup

Walter Mondale (DFL) vs. Norm Coleman (R)

Poll	Date	Mondale	Coleman	Others	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 - November 1, 2002	41%	47%	2%	10%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2002 election for Minnesota's Senate seat were held today, would you vote for Walter Mondale, the Democrat; Norm Coleman, the Republican; Jim Moore, of the Independence Party; or Ray Tricomo of the Green Party?"

Paul Wellstone (DFL) vs. Norm Coleman (R) vs. Jim Moore (IP) vs. Ray Tricomo (G)

Poll	Date	Wellstone	Coleman	Moore	Tricomo	No opinion	Sample	MoE
MSNBC / Zogby	October 9-11, 2002	46%	37%	6%	1%	10%	500 LV	± 4.5
MSNBC / Zogby	September 18-19, 2002	41%	47%	2%	1%	8%	500 LV	± 4.5
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	September 12-14, 2002	47%	44%	2%	2%	5%	625 RV	± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR²	July 2-5, 2001	48%	44%	---	---	8%	627 RV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2002 election for Minnesota's Senate seat were held today, would you vote for Paul Wellstone, the Democrat; Norm Coleman, the Republican; Jim Moore, of the Independence Party; or Ray Tricomo of the Green Party?"

2 "If the 2002 election for Minnesota's U.S. Senate seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Paul Wellstone, the Democrat; and Norm Coleman, the Republican?"

Vote to Re-elect Paul Wellstone

Poll	Date	Re-elect Wellstone	Consider Republican	Replace with Republican	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	February 5-6, 2001	46%	23%	26%	5%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "If the 2002 election for Minnesota's U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote to re-elect Democrat Paul Wellstone, would you consider voting for a Republican challenger, or would you definitely vote to replace Wellstone with a Republican?"

Candidate Favorability Ratings

Norm Coleman Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 - November 1, 2002	51%	23%	25%	1%	625 RV	± 4.0
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	September 12-14, 2002	47%	26%	25%	2%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Norm Coleman?"

Paul Wellstone Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	September 12-14, 2002	51%	34%	15%	1%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Paul Wellstone?"

Walter Mondale Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 - November 1, 2002	45%	32%	22%	1%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Walter Mondale?"

Jim Moore Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	September 12-14, 2002	6%	2%	27%	65%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Jim Moore?"

Ray Tricomo Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	September 12-14, 2002	5%	2%	19%	74%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of Ray Tricomo?"

Reason for Candidate Support

Reason¹	State	Coleman	Mondale
Character and experience	33%	26%	41%
Party affiliation	29%	28%	31%
Position on social / moral issues	14%	19%	9%
Position on economy and jobs	5%	6%	4%
Position on taxes and government spending	4%	7%	0%
Position on education	2%	1%	3%
Position on the environment	1%	1%	1%
Other / No opinion	12%	12%	11%
Poll	Pioneer Press / MPR
Date	October 30 - November 1, 2002
Sample	625 RV
MoE	± 4.0

1 "What is the main reason you support the candidate?"

Paul Wellstone Death and Fallout

Wellstone Support Before His Death

Poll	Date	Yes	No	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 – November 1, 2002	46%	47%	7%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Were you planning to vote for Paul Wellstone before his death?"

Walter Mondale Best Democratic Replacement On Ballot

Poll	Date	Yes	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 – November 1, 2002	55%	17%	28%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Do you think Walter Mondale is the best choice to replace Paul Wellstone as the Democrat on the ballot, or do you think another person would be better"

Wellstone Death Changed Gubernatorial Support

Poll	Date	Yes	No	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 - November 1, 2002	6%	92%	2%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Has Paul Wellstone's death changed your decision about who to support in the governor's race, or not?"

Vote Choice Influenced By Wellstone Memorial Service

Poll	Date	Yes	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 - November 1, 2002	17%	81%	2%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "Was your choice in the U.S. Senate race influenced by Tuesday night's memorial service for Paul Wellstone?"

Wellstone Legacy

Poll	Date	Great	Good	Average	Poor	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Pioneer Press / MPR¹	October 30 - November 1, 2002	34%	40%	13%	7%	6%	625 RV	± 4.0

1 "In time, do you feel Paul Wellstone will be remembered as a great senator, a good senator, an average senator, or a poor senator?"