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Minnesota: Election 2008 (President)

Election Matchup
Generic Partisan Matchup
Vice President
Democratic Primary
Republican Primary
Electability
Candidate Favorability Ratings
Candidate Image

Election Matchup

Barack Obama (D) vs. John McCain (R)

Poll	Date	Obama	McCain	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Quinnipiac³	June 17-24, 2008	54%	37%	1%	8%	1,572 LV	± 2.5
SurveyUSA²	June 13-16, 2008	47%	46%	7%		543 LV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	June 11, 2008	52%	39%	6%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen	May 22, 2008	53%	38%	4%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA²	May 16-18, 2008	47%	42%	12%		600 RV	± 4.1
Rasmussen	April 22, 2008	52%	38%	5%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	April 11-13, 2008	49%	43%	8%		535 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	March 19, 2008	47%	43%	4%	6%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	March 14-16, 2008	46%	47%	7%		532 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	February 26-28, 2008	49%	42%	9%		608 RV	± 4.1
SurveyUSA¹	February 15-17, 2008	55%	40%	6%		541 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	February 16, 2008	53%	38%	4%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen	February 1, 2008	47%	41%	8%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	42%	49%	9%		550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	41%	50%	9%		556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	43%	46%	11%		535 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if it was Mitt Romney against John McCain?"

2 "If there were an election for President of the United States today, would you vote for Republican John McCain or Democrat Barack Obama?"

3 "If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain?"

Top Choice for President

Candidate¹	February 1, 2008
Barack Obama	27%
Hillary Clinton	21%
John McCain	20%
Mitt Romney	15%
Mike Huckabee	8%
Ron Paul	4%
No opinion	5%
Poll	Rasmussen
Sample	500 LV
MoE	± 4.5

1 "In thinking about the 2008 Presidential Election, which candidate would be your top choice for President ... Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, or Ron Paul?"

Barack Obama (D) vs. Rudy Giuliani (R)

Poll	Date	Obama	Giuliani	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	52%	36%	11%	550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	44%	48%	8%	556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	44%	44%	12%	535 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	47%	43%	11%	531 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	April 13-15, 2007	43%	49%	8%	531 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if it was Rudy Giuliani against Democrat Barack Obama?"

Barack Obama (D) vs. Fred Thompson (R)

Poll	Date	Obama	Thompson	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	49%	41%	10%	526 RV	± 4.4

1 "What if it was Fred Thompson against Barack Obama?"

Barack Obama (D) vs. Mitt Romney (R)

Poll	Date	Obama	Romney	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	February 1, 2008	52%	36%	7%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	55%	36%	10%		550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	48%	42%	10%		556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	49%	38%	12%		535 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	53%	33%	14%		525 RV	± 4.4

1 "What if it was Mitt Romney against Barack Obama?"

Barack Obama (D) vs. Mike Huckabee (R)

Poll	Date	Obama	Huckabee	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	49%	42%	9%	550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	47%	42%	11%	556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	52%	33%	14%	535 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if it was Mitt Romney against Mike Huckabee?"

Hillary Clinton (D) vs. John McCain (R)

Poll	Date	Clinton	McCain	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen	May 22, 2008	53%	38%	7%	2%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen	April 22, 2008	47%	42%	8%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA³	April 11-13, 2008	47%	46%	7%		535 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	March 19, 2008	46%	47%	3%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA³	March 14-16, 2008	49%	46%	5%		532 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	February 26-28, 2008	47%	43%	10%		609 RV	± 4.1
SurveyUSA³	February 15-17, 2008	49%	45%	6%		541 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	February 16, 2008	42%	47%	7%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	February 1, 2008	44%	44%	8%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA²	January 20-21, 2008	45%	49%	6%		550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA²	December 13-15, 2007	51%	43%	6%		556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA²	November 9-11, 2007	48%	45%	8%		535 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA²	October 12-14, 2007	50%	43%	7%		524 RV	± 4.4
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	41%	45%	8%	7%	535 RV	± 4.3

1 "Suppose that, in the next Presidential election, you had a choice between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican John McCain?"

2 "What if it was Republican John McCain against Hillary Clinton?"

3 "If there were an election for President of the United States today, and the only two names on the ballot were Republican John McCain and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?"

Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Rudy Giuliani (R)

Poll	Date	Clinton	Giuliani	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	51%	40%	9%		550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	53%	40%	7%		556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	49%	43%	8%		535 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	October 31, 2007	44%	41%	10%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	October 12-14, 2007	51%	40%	9%		540 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	52%	41%	7%		548 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	September 6, 2007	50%	37%	10%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	August 10-12, 2007	47%	44%	9%		544 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	July 13-15, 2007	50%	45%	6%		N/A	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	June 8-10, 2007	50%	41%	9%		534 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	May 11-13, 2007	45%	47%	7%		544 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	April 13-15, 2007	48%	45%	11%		535 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	March 9-11, 2007	47%	47%	6%		N/A	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	February 9-11, 2007	47%	45%	9%		N/A	± 4.3
Rasmussen²	June 26, 2006	45%	46%	4%	6%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "If there were an election for President of the United States today, and the only two names on the ballot were Republican Rudy Giuliani and Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton, who would you vote for?"

2 "Suppose the Republicans nominated Rudy Giuliani. If the election were held today, would you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Rudy Giuliani?"

Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Mitt Romney (R)

Poll	Date	Clinton	Romney	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen	February 1, 2008	49%	40%	7%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	51%	40%	9%		550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	58%	36%	7%		556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	54%	37%	9%		535 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	October 31, 2007	47%	40%	9%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	October 12-14, 2007	57%	34%	8%		537 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	56%	33%	11%		541 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	September 6, 2007	52%	34%	9%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	August 10-12, 2007	52%	36%	12%		540 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	July 13-15, 2007	56%	38%	6%		N/A	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	May 11-13, 2007	51%	40%	9%		538 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	March 9-11, 2007	52%	37%	11%		N/A	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	August 11-13, 2007	48%	45%	8%		N/A	± 4.4

1 "What if it was Republican Mitt Romney against Hillary Clinton?"

Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Fred Thompson (R)

Poll	Date	Clinton	Thompson	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen	October 31, 2007	47%	43%	7%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	October 12-14, 2007	57%	37%	7%		538 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	52%	39%	8%		541 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	September 6, 2007	51%	40%	8%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	August 10-12, 2007	50%	41%	9%		542 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	July 13-15, 2007	54%	41%	4%		N/A	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	June 8-10, 2007	53%	38%	9%		N/A	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	April 13-15, 2007	53%	37%	10%		N/A	± 4.4

1 "What if it was Republican Fred Thompson against Hillary Clinton?"

Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Mike Huckabee (R)

Poll	Date	Clinton	Huckabee	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	50%	42%	8%		550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	53%	41%	6%		556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	54%	36%	10%		535 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	October 12-14, 2007	60%	30%	10%		531 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if it was Republican Mike Huckabee against Hillary Clinton?"

Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Ron Paul (R)

Poll	Date	Clinton	Paul	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	October 12-14, 2007	61%	28%	11%		519 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if it was Republican Ron Paul against Hillary Clinton?"

John Edwards (D) vs. Rudy Giuliani (R)

Poll	Date	Edwards	Giuliani	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	48%	40%	11%	519 RV	± 4.4
SurveyUSA¹	April 13-15, 2007	49%	41%	10%	533 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if it was Rudy Giuliani against Democrat John Edwards?"

John Edwards (D) vs. Fred Thompson (R)

Poll	Date	Edwards	Thompson	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	51%	35%	14%	510 RV	± 4.4

1 "What if it was Fred Thompson against John Edwards?"

John Edwards (D) vs. Mitt Romney (R)

Poll	Date	Edwards	Romney	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	September 14-16, 2007	55%	28%	17%	506 RV	± 4.4

1 "What if it was Mitt Romney against John Edwards?"

Barack Obama (D) vs. John McCain (R)

Poll	Date	Obama	McCain	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen	April 22, 2008	52%	38%	5%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	April 11-13, 2008	49%	43%	8%		535 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	March 19, 2008	47%	43%	4%	6%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	March 14-16, 2008	46%	47%	7%		532 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	February 15-17, 2008	55%	40%	6%		541 RV	± 4.3
Rasmussen	February 16, 2008	53%	38%	9%		500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen	February 1, 2008	47%	41%	8%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5
SurveyUSA¹	January 20-21, 2008	42%	49%	9%		550 RV	± 4.3
SurveyUSA¹	December 13-15, 2007	41%	50%	9%		556 RV	± 4.2
SurveyUSA¹	November 9-11, 2007	43%	46%	11%		535 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if it was John McCain against Democrat Barack Obama?"

Al Gore (D) vs. John McCain (R)

Poll	Date	Gore	McCain	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	41%	44%	6%	9%	535 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if the Democrats nominate Al Gore and the Republicans nominate John McCain? For whom would you vote?"

Al Gore (D) vs. Rudy Giuliani (R)

Poll	Date	Gore	Giuliani	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA²	October 12-14, 2007	50%	44%	6%		513 RV	± 4.4
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	42%	45%	6%	8%	535 RV	± 4.3

1 "What if the choice were between Democrat Al Gore and Republican Rudy Giuliani?"

2 "What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Rudy Giuliani and Democrat Al Gore?"

Generic Partisan Matchup

Generic Democrat vs. Generic Republican

Poll	Date	Democrat	Republican	Depends on who they nominate	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	47%	33%	16%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "If the 2008 Presidential election were held today, would you be likely to vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?"

Vice President

Effect of Tim Pawlenty As Vice Presidential Nominee on Vote for Republican Presidential Nominee

Poll	Date	More likely	Less likely	No impact	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	February 1, 2008	29%	35%	30%	6%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "If Governor Tim Pawlenty was selected to run as the Republican's Vice Presidential nominee, would you be more or less likely to vote for the Republican Presidential candidate?"

Democratic Primary

Who Will Be the Democratic Nominee

Poll	Date	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	November 2-5, 2007	56%	17%	15%	9%	2%	616 RV	± 4.0

1 "Thinking ahead to the election for President of the United States: Regardless of who you may vote for, which Democrat do you think will be the Democratic candidate for President in 2008? Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, or some other Democrat?"

Republican Primary

Who Will Be the Republican Nominee

Poll	Date	Giuliani	McCain	Romney	Thompson	Huckabee	Other	No opinion	Sample	MoE
SurveyUSA¹	November 2-5, 2007	47%	17%	11%	10%	4%	7%	3%	616 RV	± 4.0

1 "Regardless of who you may vote for, which Republican do you think will be the Republican candidate for President in 2008? Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Mitt Romney, or Fred Thompson?"

Electability

Democratic Candidate Most Likely to Win White House If Nominated

Poll	Date	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	October 31, 2007	34%	21%	20%	26%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Which Democratic presidential candidate is most likely to win the White House if nominated?"

Republican Candidate Most Likely to Win White House If Nominated

Poll	Date	Giuliani	Romney	Thompson	McCain	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	October 31, 2007	34%	10%	17%	13%	26%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Which Republican presidential candidate is most likely to win the White House if nominated?"

Candidate Favorability Ratings

Barack Obama Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	June 11, 2008	60%	39%	2%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	May 22, 2008	59%	39%	2%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	April 22, 2008	60%	40%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	March 19, 2008	57%	42%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	February 16, 2008	64%	34%	2%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	February 1, 2008	63%	35%	2%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama?"

Barack Obama Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	Haven't heard enough	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Quinnipiac¹	June 17-24, 2008	59%	22%	16%	3%	1,572 LV	± 2.5

1 "Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?"

John McCain Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	June 11, 2008	54%	45%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	May 22, 2008	52%	48%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	April 22, 2008	56%	42%	2%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	March 19, 2008	58%	40%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	February 16, 2008	62%	36%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	February 1, 2008	55%	41%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	60%	33%	7%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of John McCain?"

John McCain Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	Haven’t heard enough	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Quinnipiac¹	June 17-24, 2008	46%	32%	19%	4%	1,572 LV	± 2.5

1 "Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?"

Hillary Clinton Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	May 22, 2008	55%	44%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	April 22, 2008	51%	47%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	March 19, 2008	50%	50%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	February 16, 2008	51%	48%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	February 1, 2008	48%	50%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	October 31, 2007	49%	49%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	September 6, 2007	57%	42%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	55%	44%	1%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?"

Al Gore Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	50%	47%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Al Gore?"

Rudy Giuliani Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	October 31, 2007	53%	44%	3%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	September 6, 2007	51%	45%	4%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	June 26, 2006	60%	34%	5%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Rudy Giuliani?"

Fred Thompson Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	October 31, 2007	49%	41%	9%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	September 6, 2007	49%	42%	10%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Fred Thompson?"

Mitt Romney Favorability Rating

Poll	Date	Favorable	Unfavorable	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	February 1, 2008	43%	51%	6%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	October 31, 2007	40%	50%	10%	500 LV	± 4.5
Rasmussen¹	September 6, 2007	37%	51%	12%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?"

Candidate Image

John McCain Too Old to Be President

Poll	Date	Yes	No	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	June 10, 2008	35%	59%	7%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Is John McCain too old to be President?"

Barack Obama Too Inexperienced to Be President

Poll	Date	Yes	No	No opinion	Sample	MoE
Rasmussen¹	June 10, 2008	41%	49%	10%	500 LV	± 4.5

1 "Is Barack Obama too inexperienced to be President?"